Let, S be the sample space. Let, A and B be events. State true or false(provide a counter example if false).
a) If P(A)≤ P(B), then A⊆B
b) Assuming P(B)>0, P(A|B) is atleast as large as P(A).
first should be false
example: in three tosses of a coin:
pr(atleast two heads)
A={HHH,HHT,HTH,THH }= 4/8=1/2=PR(A)
PR(ATMOST TWO HEADS) =
HTH,THH,TTT,TTH,THT,HTT ,HHT} PR(B)=7/8
PR(A)<PR(B)
BUT A is not a subset of B.
2) p(A/B) >=P(A) this should also be FALSE
as P(A/B)<=P(B) IS TRUE.
PROOF:
n(A INTERSECTION B) <=n(A).. WHere n is the no of elements.
n(B) <=n(S)
DIVIDING THE ABOVE TWO INEQUALITIES WE GET
P(A/B)<=P(A).
ALSO, a counter-example to prove 2nd is false.
let s be two tosses of a fair coin
A: head on the first toss
{hh,ht} pr(A)=2/4=1/2
B: tail
{tt,ht,th} PR(b)=3/4
pr(A intersection B) =1/4
PR(A/B) =1/4 / 3/4 = 1/3
PR(A) =1/2
THerefore , PR(A/B) is atleast as large as p(A)
ie: p(A/B) >=P(A) IS FALSE.
@Duck:..I'm also getting the both false..In fact it's quite easy to prove them false by taking random examples.... but could you Prove first part Mathematically...It would be great help....Thanks in advance..
M.A Economics
Delhi School of Economics
2013-15
Email Id:sumit.sharmagi@gmail.com
@ Sumit.. :)
First part cannot be proved as its false. You can only prove those things which are true.. And there are many random examples to support that its false.. :)