Econometrics doubt: WHAT IS THIS? Amit Sir Please help.

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Econometrics doubt: WHAT IS THIS? Amit Sir Please help.

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Gujarati's Basic Econometrics says here that  "two normally distributed variables, zero covariance or correlation means independence of the two variables." on page 109.

But, Wikipedia says (with some explanations) that  Normally distributed and uncorrelated does not imply independent.

So, which is correct?
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Re: Econometrics doubt: WHAT IS THIS? Amit Sir Please help.

Amit Goyal
Administrator
Hi X,

Gujarati is referring to the following:
Suppose two random variables X and Y are jointly normally distributed. In other words, the random vector (X, Y) has a multivariate normal distribution. Here is a way to describe multivariate normal: We say that the random vector (X, Y) has a multivariate normal distribution if joint probability distribution of X and Y is such that each linear combination of X and Y is normally distributed, i.e. for any two constant (i.e., non-random) scalars a and b, the random variable aX + bY is normally distributed. In that case if X and Y are uncorrelated, i.e., their covariance cov(X, Y) is zero, then they are independent.

However, it is possible for two random variables X and Y to have  marginal normal distributions each but their joint distribution is not multivariate normal. In such cases, there is a possibility that they are uncorrelated, but not independent. For example:
Suppose X has a normal distribution with expected value 0 and variance 1. Let W have the Rademacher distribution, so that W = 1 or −1, each with probability 1/2, and assume W is independent of X. Let Y = WX. Clearly, X and Y have normal distribution and are uncorrelated. (For working refer the wiki link you provided)
But (X, Y) does not have a multivariate normal distribution because
X + Y = 2X if W = 1
and X + Y =  0 if W = -1 is not normally distributed (since X + Y takes value 0 with probability 1/2)

To summarize,
(X, Y) has a multivariate normal distribution plus zero covariance between X and Y implies independence of X and Y
However, (X, Y) has some joint distribution such that marginal distributions of both X and Y are normal, then zero covariance between X and Y does not imply independence of X and Y.


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Re: Econometrics doubt: WHAT IS THIS? Amit Sir Please help.

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Thank you so much, Sir!!!!