probability question

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probability question

tania
Q- Player 1 has 5 coins and Player 2 has 4 coins. Both players toss all the coins together and observe the number of times heads come up. Assuming the coins are fair, find the probability that player 1 has more heads than player 2.

What is the answer?
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Re: probability question

Granpa Simpson
I am getting answer as 0.5
 "I don't ride side-saddle. I'm as straight as a submarine"
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Re: probability question

Granpa Simpson
In reply to this post by tania
The possible cases are:
i) 1 head for player 1 and 0 head for player 2.
ii) 2 heads for player 1 and (0 or 1) head for player 2.
iii) 3 heads for player 1 and (0 or 1 or 2) head/heads for player 2.
iv) 4 heads for player 1 and (0 or 1 or 2 or 3) head/heads for player 2.
v) 5 heads for player 1 and (0 or 1 or 2 or 3 or 4) head/heads for player 2.
Now use binomial distribution and find:
Required Probability=Pr(X1=1)*Pr(X2=0)+Pr(X1=2)*Pr(X2<=1)+Pr(X1=3)*Pr(X2<=2)+Pr(X1=4)*Pr(X2<=3)+Pr(X1=5)*Pr9X2<=4).
Here X1: Random Variable denoting the number of heads for player 1.
       X2: Random Variable denoting the number of heads for player 2.
Consider getting of head as a success and compute the given probability by using Binomial Dist...i got the answer as 0.5.
 "I don't ride side-saddle. I'm as straight as a submarine"
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Re: probability question

Amit Goyal
Administrator
In reply to this post by tania
Player 1 has 5 coins and Player 2 has 4 coins. Both players toss all the coins together and observe the number of times heads come up. Assuming the coins are fair, find the probability that player 1 has more heads than player 2.

The problem can be done by using the following symmetry argument:
Note that entire sample space can be partitioned into the following two events:
A = {Player 1 has more heads than Player 2}
B = {Player 1 has more tails than Player 2}
such that A U B = S and A ∩ B = ∅
Thus, Pr(A) + Pr(B) = 1.
And by symmetry, Pr(A) = Pr(B)
So, Pr(A) = 0.5