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small doubt on probability

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small doubt on probability

Arushi :))
305 posts
A lady declares that by taking a cup of tea, she can discriminate whether the milk or tea infusion was first added to the cup. It is proposed to test this assertion by means of an experiment with 12 cups of tea, 6 made in one way and 6 in the other, and presenting them to the lady for judgement in a random order.
Calculate the probability that on the null hypothesis that the lady has no discrimination power, she would judge correctly all the 12 cups, it being known to her that 6 are of each kind.
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Re: small doubt on probability

kangkan
607 posts
here we have 12 cups of tea..6 in one way and 6 in other way..hence the total no of ways in which they can be presented is 12!/6!6!=924..since there is only one way tht she can be correct..therefore porb=1/924
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Re: small doubt on probability

Arushi :))
305 posts
In reply to this post by Arushi :))
thanks and i really wanted to answer your doubt on trix, but haven't started with trix as of now.
sorry :(
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Re: small doubt on probability

kangkan
607 posts
thats fine..have you done dev eco ..i guess you are following debraj ray..which cahpetrs?
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Re: small doubt on probability

Arushi :))
305 posts
I haven't done it really :P
But i ll do all the important chapters
3,10, 6,8
I asked my seniors , they said these would be enough
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Re: small doubt on probability

The Villain
538 posts
In reply to this post by Arushi :))
@arushi what about chapters on Lewis model n Harris Todaro?
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Re: small doubt on probability

Arushi :))
305 posts
they are in chapter 10 i guess.
they have to be done.
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Re: small doubt on probability

The Villain
538 posts
In reply to this post by Arushi :))
Thanxx :-)